Showing posts with label advanced stats. Show all posts
Showing posts with label advanced stats. Show all posts
Saturday, May 3, 2014
#FancyStats Q+A with Eric Tulsky
Noted advanced stats pioneer Eric Tulsky killed some time on Twitter recently with a helpful Q+A on #FancyStats in hockey. Links to articles with more detailed information on the topic in question are provided for those looking for more information than is available in 140 characters.
This is not the first time Tulsky has taken the time to explain advanced stats concepts in more detail to his followers, and a previous Q+A was collected by other noted advanced stats enthusiast Tyler Dellow.
This is not the first time Tulsky has taken the time to explain advanced stats concepts in more detail to his followers, and a previous Q+A was collected by other noted advanced stats enthusiast Tyler Dellow.
Wednesday, September 4, 2013
How Advanced Stats Can Help You Win Your Fantasy Hockey League
Unless you're playing with a bunch of neglectful owners (the absentee parents
of fantasy hockey) you will probably need to find an extra edge to outsmart your
opponents and win your fantasy hockey league.
Usually, that means finding the best sleepers. But with a bunch of knowledgeable opponents who have all done research and checked the Internet's sleeper lists, you're all likely going after the same players. And when you're all going after the same players it means you're going to have to overpay to get some sleepers, which somewhat defeats the purpose of a sleeper. And if you overpay for a sleeper you better be sure your investment pays off.
For the owner looking for that extra edge, that extra bit of knowledge about a player, which can help you decide whether the sleeper is worth it or whether last year's breakout star can repeat, advanced stats can help.
Usually, that means finding the best sleepers. But with a bunch of knowledgeable opponents who have all done research and checked the Internet's sleeper lists, you're all likely going after the same players. And when you're all going after the same players it means you're going to have to overpay to get some sleepers, which somewhat defeats the purpose of a sleeper. And if you overpay for a sleeper you better be sure your investment pays off.
For the owner looking for that extra edge, that extra bit of knowledge about a player, which can help you decide whether the sleeper is worth it or whether last year's breakout star can repeat, advanced stats can help.
Wednesday, July 31, 2013
Book Review: Rob Vollman's Hockey Abstract
Rob Vollman, tired of waiting for someone else to write hockey's version of The Bill James Baseball Abstract, the seminal work that ushered in baseball's sabermetrics revolution, has published Rob Vollman's Hockey Abstract.
Tuesday, April 16, 2013
When Bad Puck Possession Teams Turn Good
A week after going 24:33 minutes without a shot in a loss to the New York Rangers, the Leafs were back to their low-chance ways against New Jersey last night, managing only 13 shots.
Amazingly, the Leafs won. But what's truly amazing is that this wasn't abnormal for the team. The Leafs have been consistently outshot and outchanced all season, yet they continue to find ways to make their shots count and pick up wins.
The performance has come as a shock to many, but none more than those who ascribe to advanced statistics.
But despite its name, advanced stats in hockey aren't all that advanced.
Amazingly, the Leafs won. But what's truly amazing is that this wasn't abnormal for the team. The Leafs have been consistently outshot and outchanced all season, yet they continue to find ways to make their shots count and pick up wins.
The performance has come as a shock to many, but none more than those who ascribe to advanced statistics.
But despite its name, advanced stats in hockey aren't all that advanced.
Thursday, March 8, 2012
The Positives and Negatives of Plus/Minus
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Just a couple of nerds. |
After reading Moneyball a few years ago I began to heavily read about sabermetrics and became a full-blown disciple of Bill James. For my upcoming fantasy baseball draft I've been looking at advanced stats to see who is likely to regress and who is the real deal. I'm really nerding out and loving every minute of it. I still have to make notes to myself reminding me not to draft B.J Upton, because no matter what some stats say, there are still some players that draw me in. Likewise, I will select multiple Blue Jays way before any sane person would select them, but the heart wants what the heart wants.
My love of advanced stats has only somewhat transferred over to hockey, and my knowledge is still very much in its infancy, but I am trying to incorporate more than just goals and assists into my evaluation of players. I find I spend much more time scanning behindthenet.ca before writing a post that either trashes or praises a player because I don't want the nerd squad to throw someone's corsi rating in my face.
As my search to cram my head with more hockey knowledge than useful life skills continues, I've taken a bit of a harder look at some traditional stats that I was once willing to accept. One of the primary stats I've grown skeptical of is plus/minus, which I previously used to solely inform my opinions about a player's defensive worth. However, I'm not ready to totally disregard plus/minus, which might brand me a leper among the fancy staters, but I don't care.
Today's post at The Good Point looks at the situations when plus/minus can be informative, as well as when it is absolutely worthless.
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