Thursday, June 21, 2012
|"Trade the pick!? That would require an ability to do more than sit around and pray for the lottery."|
Here's a graph I made showing how likely a player is to develop into a top-6 forward or top-6 defenceman based on when they are drafted in the first round. After round one the chances are less than 10 percent.
|Likelihood of a first round pick becoming at least a top-6 forward or top-4 defenceman.|
|Likelihood of a draft pick playing at least 100 games in the NHL.|