The Leafs train keeps rolling, wobbling only momentarily during the first month of the season. It doesn't matter how many shots the Leafs allow, Jonathan Bernier and James Reimer are there to stop them all, and the forwards are scoring more than an bearded high schooler driving a Firebird.
1. Nazem Kadri has his first extended shot at playing between Phil
Kessel and James van Riemsdyk and the early results are WOWOHWOW. The
trio has combined for seven goals in three games and all of my dreams
are coming true. After years of playing with Tyler Bozak and a string of
AHL-quality wingers like Joey Crabb, Kessel must feel like he died and
went to heaven now that he's playing with two skilled players. Kessel's goals per
game have remained pretty steady since arriving in Toronto, but his
assists per game spike dramatically once the Leafs acquired Joffrey
Lupul. He's a great player with bums, and an elite player with quality
linemates.
2. I honestly don't see a way Bozak reclaims
his spot on the first line with the way Kadri has played so far (and all
of this season and last, quite frankly). He's not good enough to play
the 21 minutes a night, which is
second (!) on the team next to Phaneuf. Bozak is best suited to a second or
third line role, with extended minutes on the penalty kill. His
offensive production has always been almost entirely dependent on
Kessel, and the quicker Randy Carlyle realizes it, the better the Leafs
will be going forward.
3. Decreasing his minutes, at both
even strength and on the power play, is going to kill the little
production the Leafs were getting from Bozak (on a per minute basis,
Bozak was 64th in points among centres at even strength). That's going
to make his contract look ugly in a hurry, but that is a sunk cost
anyways. I don't know if there's a sucker in the league willing to take
that albatross on even if Bozak was getting first-line minutes. In a
couple years time Bozak's deal is destined to be bought out in true
Leafs fashion. Hey, thanks for getting Kessel signed, see ya later.
4. If Kadri sticks on the first line and
Bozak plays well in a role he's better suited for, the Leafs problem
down the middle suddenly becomes much less concerning. Heading into the
deadline, then, Nonis only really needs to shop for a defensive
defenceman—because the Leafs are a disaster on the back end right now.
Perhaps if Dallas can't get anything going someone like free-agent-to-be
Stephane Robidas becomes available, and he's the type of minute-eating,
shutdown defender the Leafs could really use.
5. After
Tuesday's win over the Oilers, Navin Vaswani (who is a great Twitter
follow, by the way) tweeted the following: James Reimer: .949 SV%.
Jonathan Bernier: .930 SV%. #Sochi. It's not likely
because the front runners—Carey Price and Marc-Andre Fleury—have been
excellent, but it really shouldn't be that outlandish of a thought. Since
2010-11, Reimer and Bernier have produced identical .917 save
percentages, better than Ryan Miller, Fleury, Jimmy Howard, and Jaroslav
Halak, and are only a tick below Cam Ward, Jonathan Quick, Cam Ward,
and Craig Anderson. They are both stonewalling the opposition this
season under heavy barrage (only the Ottawa Senators allow more shots
per game) and are the primary reason behind the Leafs' quick start.
6.
I could feel confident in a Team Canada starting Carey Price in Sochi,
but definitely not Fleury. Visions of his career .903 save percentage in
the playoffs horrifically flashes before my eyes, pulsing to the silent
beat of a red goal light. You have to go back all the way to 2009 to
find a post-season where Fleury even broke the .900 SV% Toskala line.
I'm not going to be fooled by his quick start, he's an average goalie, and a bad one come playoff time.
7.
There are more question marks for Canada outside of the crease, too.
Canada, already thin on the wings, is missing Rick Nash, Taylor Hall,
and James Neal to injury. Who knows how they will be upon their return.
And Claude Giroux, once a lock to make the team, has yet to score
through 11 games and could be left at home. Good thing young guys like Logan Couture and Matt
Duchene have started the year looking like beasts. Just throw a couple
centres on the wing and the problem's solved.
8. Things
could be worse, Steve Yzerman could be hearing about his goaltender being arrested on domestic violence charges, like Russia is with potential
starting netminder Semyon Varlamov. Apparently, a Russian
government official claims it's all part of an elaborate scheme to
prevent Russia from winning the gold medal. Sure, buddy. Canada
definitely isn't sabotaging your netminders so Russia is forced to start
Ilya Bryzgalov. They are definitely not doing that. No, sir.
9.
The Sabres made out well trading Tomas Vanek to the New York Islanders,
especially if they can flip Matt Moulson at the deadline for more draft
picks. The fact that there is a chance the 2014 first-round pick can turn into a 2015 first-round pick has got to be appealing for the Sabres
as well. The Sabres are so bad
they may as well do everything they possibly can to land Conor McDavid
in 2015.
10.
It's a bit of a curious move by the Islanders. Vanek is a definite
upgrade over Moulson, but New York was already getting good production
out of Moulson, so it seems kind of weird to dump one pretty good
top-six player in a "going for it" deal. Sure, a lot of Moulson's
production was derived from John Tavares, so with Tavares maybe Vanek
becomes a 40-goal guy, but the difference between Moulson and Vanek
doesn't seem worth the price paid. But when you've been awful for decades I guess you get drunk on any initial success (*checks mirrors, looks at drunk-on-Leafs face*).
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